Tim Kelley is back for winter 25+26 with his thorough, entertaining, and exciting weather reports. Watch this space for news about incoming weather and snow.
We don’t usually run out of superlatives this early in the season.
Most winters we don’t get past 12 feet of snow until the calendar changes to a new year.
This snow and cold cycle, pretty remarkable, shows little sign of waning.
In fact for the next week or two, it shows no sign of letting up.
We just had another Arctic intrusion that brought in a half a foot of snow and then more cold Monday and Tuesday. So there’s only one way to go in the temperature department anyway. A warming trend. And guess what, warm fronts also bring snow. That’s what’s happening out the window as I write this on Tuesday afternoon. The temperature last night got down to about 20 below zero down in the villages. But it was warmer on the mountain!
That’s called "High Barometer Cold" with the clear sky and the light wind and the low dew point. And it’s also incredible weather for making snow. Mountain Operations has been gifted this amazing productive window to work with. And mother nature is not slacking either.
Any kind of front, whether it’s a warm front or a cold front, is going to generate more snow. So we get about an inch or two of 'warm front' snow overnight Tuesday. And then the temperature actually jumps all the way up to perhaps 30° briefly Wednesday evening. It’s called warm air and advection, and oh yeah, it’s coming with heavy snow, probably about a 6 inch'er with higher density than we’ve seen with the blower Pow of late.
Along with the snow, Wednesday afternoon wind should not be too strong. But it is going ramp up with yet another plunge of arctic air coming in overnight and Thursday. Where have we heard this before? This will be the third Arctic front in a week. And that will come with the Jay Cloud Snow. Much less density to this Thursday snow with the temperature falling through the teens into the single numbers by afternoon. Wind will be out of the west and even southwest gusting past 40 mph. We'll probably pick up another 6 inches of blower POW.
Snow should let up Friday. Just a few flakes and mostly cloudy skies, maybe a glimpse of the sun. Still windy and cold with temperatures mostly in the single numbers early and teens in the afternoon, wind gusting from the west 20 to 30 mph.
We have a brief lull with a slight warming trend Friday night and first thing Saturday. Another weak warm front may generate an inch or two of snow on Saturday. But it looks pretty nice with temperatures in the teens and 20s. Wind out of the southwest hopefully only 10 to 20 mph.
There's a potential Nor'easter Sunday and Monday.
Details are sketchy, there are some indications that may try and miss us to the south. But so far, no matter where the storms go, somehow it continues to snow here.
The early call is for snow returning on Sunday with not too much wind in the temperature in the 20s. And then regardless of the storm track there will be another Arctic front coming in Sunday night and that will guarantee another half a foot of snow by Monday morning.
Whoops, did I say guarantee? That’s a major mistake, meteorologists cannot guarantee anything. Perhaps I should say another half a foot of snow is likely, but more often than not lately we’ve been over achieving.
Regardless, cold air returns on Monday with temperatures going subzero again and probably staying in that vicinity all day Monday with wind probably gusting past 40 miles an hour. But at least it will be snowing. Probably another half a foot or so of additional snow.
And then later next week, probably more cold and more snow.
Now we’re getting into the weekend before Christmas ~ I think this is a good place to take an exit ramp.
Midweek skiing is good if you can get it!
We’ll talk again Friday
TK
